Guardiola calls Liverpool ‘favourites’, but who will win title?-ZoomTech News

There are simply three factors separating Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester Metropolis with 9 video games to go of the 2023-24 Premier League season

Pep Guardiola says Premier League leaders Liverpool are favourites for the title after his Manchester Metropolis facet drew with second-placed Arsenal on Sunday.

Liverpool maintain a two-point lead over the Gunners after beating Brighton at Anfield, with Metropolis an additional level again in third.

“All the time who’s first is favorite,” stated Guardiola when requested if Liverpool have been “clear favourites” to win the league.

“The second favorite is Arsenal and we’re third. It isn’t in our fingers.”

Guardiola’s Metropolis, who host fourth-placed Aston Villa on Wednesday, are aiming for a file fourth title in a row and second successive Treble.

“All the time after we have been high of the league, we have been favourites,” he added. “It was in our fingers. Now it is not. It is easy.”

Liverpool new title favourites – Opta agree

Crew % likelihood of profitable title Present place & factors
1. Liverpool 48 1st – 67 factors
2. Man Metropolis 34 third – 64 factors
3. Arsenal 18 2nd – 65 factors

For the primary time this season, Manchester Metropolis will not be the favourites to win the league, after Opta’s newest spherical of 10,000 ‘supercomputer’ simulationsexternal-link

Sunday’s outcomes noticed a 12% enhance in Liverpool’s probabilities and a 12% lower in Metropolis’s probabilities.

Present desk

Crew Performed Factors GD GS Type (previous 5 video games)
1. Liverpool 29 67 40 67 WWWDW
2. Arsenal 29 65 46 70 WWWWD
3. Man Metropolis 29 64 35 63 WWWDD
If groups are degree after 38 video games, the title will probably be selected aim distinction, and if nonetheless degree, objectives scored

What are the remaining fixtures?

April Sheffield United (H) Aston Villa (H) Luton (H)
Manchester United (A) Crystal Palace (A) Brighton (A)
Crystal Palace (H) Luton (H) Aston Villa (H)
Fulham (A) Wolves (A)
Everton (A) Brighton (A) Chelsea (H)
West Ham (A) Nottingham Forest (A) Tottenham (A)
Might Tottenham (H) Wolves (H) Bournemouth (H)
Aston Villa (A) Fulham (A) Manchester United (A)
Wolves (H) West Ham (H) Everton (H)
Postponed to this point tbc Tottenham (A)

Sunday’s draw at Etihad Stadium meant Arsenal didn’t win a Premier League recreation for the primary time in 2024, however Mikel Arteta was glad with a degree towards a group he calls the “finest on this planet, by far”.

“They’ve the perfect supervisor on this planet by far,” Arteta added. “To catch up and attempt to be higher than them is the problem forward of us.

“You wish to win the sport. You put together to win it. If you happen to can not win it, be sure you draw it. We did that.”

Guardiola’s Metropolis facet are in sometimes formidable post-Christmas type as they purpose for an English top-flight file of 4 consecutive titles. They’ve 10 wins from 14 league video games since a 1-0 defeat by Aston Villa in early December.

As for Liverpool, the 3-1 loss at Arsenal on 4 February stays their solely league defeat in 10 video games to this point in 2024. Jurgen Klopp’s group nonetheless have a visit to Goodison Park for the Merseyside derby developing in a busy schedule.

“We simply must win our video games and see the place we find yourself,” stated Klopp.

When have been the opposite closest three-way title races?

There have been a handful of three-way Premier League title races the place the groups have been separated by simply two factors in direction of the tip of a 38-game season.

2013-14: By as late as 6 Might 2014, solely two factors separated Liverpool, Man Metropolis and Chelsea, however Metropolis received their recreation in hand to leapfrog a stumbling Liverpool – characterised by Steven Gerrard’s well-known slip towards Chelsea and Crystal Palace’s comeback – to grab the title.

2001-02: On 23 April 2002, Arsenal led Liverpool by a degree with Manchester United an additional level again. However Arsenal had a recreation in hand and have been part-way by a run of 11 consecutive wins and sealed the title by beating United at Previous Trafford.

1995-96: In mid-March, with eight video games left, Manchester United have been degree on 61 factors with Newcastle, and Liverpool have been on 59 factors in third. Regardless of having performed two video games extra, Sir Alex Ferguson’s facet noticed off the problem of Kevin Keegan’s Magpies.

What occurred at this stage final 12 months?

Graph showing how the 2022-23 Premier League title race unfolded
Three attracts in a row for Arsenal in April 2023 noticed their title problem lose momentum final season as Manchester Metropolis took the trophy

What in the event that they end degree on factors?

Ought to there be a tie, the league is determined on aim distinction, then objectives scored, then most factors within the head-to-head matches, then most away objectives within the head-to-head file.

No matter occurs, there are particular to be loads of twists and turns between now and the ultimate day of the marketing campaign on 19 Might.

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