The Week 5 NFL schedule for the 2023 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we have you coated with what it’s worthwhile to know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters convey us the most important keys to each sport and a daring prediction for every matchup.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Info offers an enormous stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Football Power Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a sport projection. Analytics author Seth Walder picks out every matchup’s greatest X issue, and fantasy analyst Eric Moody arms out useful fantasy soccer intel. Lastly, Walder and Moody give us remaining rating picks for each sport. Every part you wish to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.
Let’s get into the complete Week 5 slate, together with Josh Allen vs. Trevor Lawrence in London, an enormous Cowboys-Niners showdown and Patrick Mahomes taking over the Vikings. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night time Soccer” matchup between the Packers and the Raiders on ESPN. (Sport instances are Sunday until in any other case famous.)
Leap to a matchup:
JAX-BUF | HOU-ATL | CAR-DET
TEN-IND | NYG-MIA | NO-NE
BAL-PIT | PHI-LAR | CIN-ARI
NYJ-DEN | KC-MIN | DAL-SF
GB-LV
Thursday: CHI 40, WSH 20
Bye: CLE, LAC, SEA, TB
9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Community | Spread: BUF -5.5 (48.5)
Storyline to look at: Whereas it is a Payments “house” sport, the Jaguars are on the second of back-to-back weeks in London, which suggests Jacksonville has the time zone expertise benefit. However the Jaguars will likely be challenged to decelerate a Payments offense that is averaging 5.9 yards per play (fourth) whereas the Jaguars’ protection is permitting 5.4 yards per play (twenty second). — Alaina Getzenberg
Daring prediction: QB Josh Allen will rating a landing, and so will … LB Josh Allen. Not an enormous deal if Buffalo’s Allen runs for a TD — he has 40 over his profession, together with two this yr — however Jacksonville’s Allen has only one TD in his five-year profession: a 37-yard fumble return that gave the Jaguars a 20-16 victory over Tennessee in Week 18 final season. — Mike DiRocco
Stat to know: QB Allen had 4 landing passes final week, the tenth such sport in his profession. He’s tied with Jim Kelly for essentially the most in Payments franchise historical past. The final quarterback to throw 4 TD passes in consecutive video games was Joe Burrow in Weeks 16-17 in 2021.
Matchup X issue: Jaguars cornerbacks Tyson Campbell and Darious Williams. Jacksonville has a powerful run protection, and if these two corners — who each have allowed decrease than common yards per protection snap this season, in line with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats — can decelerate the Payments’ passing assault, the Jaguars have an opportunity. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Jaguars’ protection permits the second most fantasy factors to tight ends. Rookie TE Dalton Kincaid did not have an awesome sport towards the Dolphins, however he did catch 4 of 5 targets for 27 yards. He ran extra routes and was extra concerned within the passing sport than Dawson Knox. The stage is about for Kincaid to have a breakout efficiency. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Doug Pederson is 32-23 towards the unfold (ATS) in his profession as an underdog, together with playoffs. He’s 9-6 ATS as an underdog to the Payments. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Payments 31, Jaguars 24
Walder’s decide: Payments 33, Jaguars 20
FPI prediction: BUF, 79.5% (by a median of 11.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Jaguars’ offense takes child steps in London … Payments’ offense chasing historical past behind Allen, Diggs … Who has to step up for Payments after White’s Achilles tear?
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: ATL -1.5 (41.5)
Storyline to look at: Atlanta’s house/street splits with Desmond Ridder at quarterback are stark — 4-0 and finishing 67.9% of his passes with 4 touchdowns and one interception at house, 0-4 with a 58.6% completion fee, one landing and two interceptions on the street. That’ll be an fascinating factor to look at because the Texans have allowed quarterbacks to finish passes at a excessive clip (71.9%) once they’re on the street, though they’ve given up just one passing landing. — Michael Rothstein
Daring prediction: The Falcons’ passing assault will likely be held to beneath 110 yards and can flip the ball over a number of instances. The Texans are one in every of six groups with extra interceptions (three) than passing touchdowns allowed (two) and strain quarterbacks on 44% of their dropbacks, the third-highest fee. Ridder has been sacked 16 instances, fourth most within the NFL, and the Falcons common the fewest passing yards per sport (156). — DJ Bien-Aime
Stat to know: Houston quarterback C.J. Stroud has thrown zero interceptions in his first 151 passing makes an attempt, the third-most passing makes an attempt with out an interception to start a profession in NFL historical past (Dak Prescott, 176, and Tua Tagovailoa, 152). Stroud will face Jessie Bates III, who has collected three interceptions this season (tied for essentially the most within the NFL).
Matchup X issue: Ridder. He has only a 29 QBR thus far this season, and that is nowhere close to ok to get the Atlanta offense going. The Falcons want extra from him if they’ll beat a frisky Texans squad. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Texans’ protection has achieved a superb job containing huge receivers — permitting the sixth-fewest fantasy factors per sport to the place. They do, nevertheless, hand over the seventh-most fantasy factors per sport to operating backs, so anticipate the Falcons to double down on the operating sport. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Falcons are 0-3 ATS of their previous three video games. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Texans 24, Falcons 23
Walder’s decide: Texans 24, Falcons 17
FPI prediction: ATL, 52.5% (by a median of 0.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Stroud continues to rewrite historical past in win over Steelers … Smith sticking with Ridder as QB1 … Inexperienced (knee) out indefinitely … Ridder tosses 2 INTs, says he did ‘horrible job’
0:48
Ought to fantasy managers go after C.J. Stroud?
Eric Moody breaks down why C.J. Stroud will proceed to be talked about as a high waiver wire pickup.
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: DET -10 (44)
Storyline to look at: The Panthers are nonetheless in search of their first win of the season however should decelerate a potent Lions offense to get it. Detroit’s offense has scored a minimum of 20 factors in 13 straight video games — which is tied for the longest streak in franchise historical past (1995) — and will get one other enhance with the return of huge receiver Jameson Williams, whose suspension for violating the NFL’s playing coverage was diminished final week. Carolina’s protection has allowed a minimum of 20 factors in each sport this season. — Eric Woodyard
Daring prediction: Detroit QB Jared Goff will move for a season-high 350 yards and 4 touchdowns. The Panthers will tighten up their porous run protection. Nonetheless, they will not be capable of strain Goff, who’s going towards a secondary that is lacking two starters (CB Jaycee Horn, S Xavier Woods) and might be down a 3rd if CB Donte Jackson (shoulder) does not play. — David Newton
Stat to know: Lions tight finish Sam LaPorta has 22 receptions this season, third amongst rookies and third amongst tight ends. With three receptions on Sunday, he would be the third tight finish with 25 receptions within the first 5 video games of his profession since 1950, becoming a member of Keith Jackson (29 in 1988) and Jordan Reed (26 in 2013).
Matchup X issue: Panthers receivers DJ Chark Jr., Jonathan Mingo and Terrace Marshall Jr. Carolina merely wants extra out of its wideouts, other than Adam Thielen, to assist slow-starting QB Bryce Young. Mingo and Marshall are within the backside 5 within the Receiver Monitoring Metrics’ general rating amongst huge receivers (Chark hasn’t performed sufficient to qualify). — Walder
What to know for fantasy: No group this season has eclipsed 90 yards dashing towards Detroit, which has held opponents to 243 complete dashing yards. The Panthers may rely closely on Hayden Hurst, Thielen and Chark on Sunday. Towards tight ends, the Lions’ protection offers up the fourth-most fantasy factors. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Panthers coach Frank Reich is 5-2-1 ATS in his profession as a minimum of a 6-point underdog. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Lions 30, Panthers 14
Walder’s decide: Lions 27, Panthers 17
FPI prediction: DET, 77.1% (by a median of 10.2 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Why Panthers aren’t panicking about Younger, offense … Reinstated from playing suspension, is Williams lastly able to launch? … At 0-4, Panthers’ offense, Younger are failing one another … Campbell units practical expectations for Williams
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: TEN -2 (43)
Storyline to look at: The Titans have gained 5 straight conferences with the Colts and 6 of the previous seven between the golf equipment. The Colts’ final win within the sequence got here on Nov. 12, 2020, with long-retired Philip Rivers at QB. Moreover, the Colts have now misplaced seven consecutive video games at house, their final win at Lucas Oil Stadium approaching Oct. 16, 2022, towards the Jaguars. — Stephen Holder
Daring prediction: WR DeAndre Hopkins will file his first 100-yard receiving sport for the Titans. Hopkins’ 65 yards towards the Saints in Week 1 has been his greatest outing, however the Colts’ move protection has allowed 263.8 yards per sport by 4 video games this season. Indianapolis will likely be with out beginning CB Dallis Flowers, so Hopkins could have a first-rate alternative to benefit from the matchup towards a reserve nook on one aspect and rookie JuJu Brents on the opposite. However he’ll face an even bigger problem within the slot towards Kenny Moore II. — Turron Davenport
Stat to know: The Titans have scored fewer than 30 factors in 22 straight video games, the longest energetic streak in NFL and tied for longest streak in franchise historical past (22 straight in 1966-67).
Matchup X issue: Colts operating again Jonathan Taylor. He is a real X issue within the sense that we do not know what his function will likely be on Sunday, however he can cost up the Colts’ floor sport if he performs a big quantity and is the 2021 model of himself. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Titans’ protection has allowed huge receivers the ninth-most fantasy factors per sport this season. Michael Pittman Jr. has averaged 9.8 targets and 14.0 fantasy factors per sport in six profession video games towards Tennessee. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Titans have coated 5 straight conferences. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Colts 24, Titans 21
Walder’s decide: Colts 20, Titans 16
FPI prediction: TEN, 55.6% (by a median of two factors)
Matchup must-reads: Henry throws 4th profession landing move in Titans’ win … Richardson’s poise is retaining Colts in video games
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: MIA -11 (48.5)
Storyline to look at: The Giants rank useless final in sacks allowed per move try at 17.2%. In the meantime, the Dolphins have generated sacks on simply 6.7% of opponents’ dropbacks. Dolphins gamers and coaches have publicly acknowledged that Sunday will not be a “get proper” sport, however Miami’s protection has a possibility to proper the ship towards a reeling Giants offensive line. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Daring prediction: The Dolphins’ high-flying offense won’t ever take off towards the Giants and will likely be held to beneath 24 factors. New York performed its greatest defensive sport on Monday evening and is sixth within the NFL with a 51.9% move rush win fee. It’s going to have some success creating havoc towards a Miami offensive line that will likely be lacking left sort out Terron Armstead. — Jordan Raanan
Stat to know: Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa ranks first in yards per try on throws with movement, on fast throws beneath 2.5 seconds and on passes between the numbers. The Giants’ protection ranks twenty fourth or worse in all of these areas this season.
Matchup X issue: Dolphins sort out Kendall Lamm. Lamm has stuffed in for the injured Armstead admirably with a 96% move block win fee. Miami wants him to stick with it to maintain Tagovailoa upright. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Giants’ opponents have rushed for the eighth-most yards per sport. The Dolphins lead the league with 176.8 dashing yards per sport. It is once more a great week to begin a Miami operating again. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Giants are 0-4 ATS this season. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Dolphins 42, Giants 17
Walder’s decide: Dolphins 35, Giants 24
FPI prediction: MIA, 87% (by a median of 15.5 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Giants must do ‘higher job’ of getting Waller concerned … Hill within the chase for Calvin Johnson’s receiving file … Neal apologizes for lashing out at booing followers
1:04
Ryan Clark: Dolphins have most explosive offense since ‘The Biggest Present on Turf’
Ryan Clark raves about Mike McDaniel and the Dolphins’ offense after Miami put up 70 factors on Denver.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: NE -1 (39)
Storyline to look at: The Patriots rank thirtieth in scoring common (13.8) and the Saints (15.5) are tied for twenty fifth. One main subject for the Patriots has been their turnover differential (minus-5), which ranks twenty seventh within the NFL. One main subject for the Saints has been their pink zone offense, which ranks final within the NFL with simply 4 TDs in 12 journeys. — Mike Reiss
Daring prediction: The Saints will pressure two turnovers towards the Patriots. Whereas New Orleans’ offense has struggled, the protection has been capable of capitalize a number of instances, getting an interception in three of 4 video games and forcing a fumble within the one sport with out a decide. Patriots QB Mac Jones has thrown 4 interceptions this season, and the Saints are poised to get C Paulson Adebo again from damage, which may imply a first-rate alternative for them. — Katherine Terrell
Stat to know: The Patriots have the worst move block win fee within the NFL (39.7%). And Jones is struggling throwing downfield — he is 0-12 on passes of 25-plus yards.
Matchup X issue: Patriots cornerback J.C. Jackson. Which Jackson will New England get: the participant who was a standout for the Patriots for years or the one who was a legal responsibility for the Chargers? The variance is excessive right here and will matter fairly a bit, given the Patriots’ banged-up secondary. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Saints’ defensive entrance permits solely 103.3 dashing yards per sport. There’s a good probability that New England’s operating sport will get again on observe earlier than later, however it’s unlikely to occur towards the Saints. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Saints coach Dennis Allen is 21-35-1 ATS in his profession (.375). Out of coaches with a minimum of 50 video games within the Tremendous Bowl period, he has the worst cowl proportion. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Patriots 17, Saints 14
Walder’s decide: Patriots 23, Saints 20
FPI prediction: NE, 53.8% (by a median of 1.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Saints seeking to rectify scoring woes … Why it is no shock Belichick traded for Jackson … Saints leaned closely on Kamara in his season debut … O’Brien downplays Jones’ struggles as ‘uncharacteristic’
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: BAL -4 (38)
Storyline to look at: Regardless of sustaining a bone bruise to his left knee towards the Texans, Steelers QB Kenny Pickett says he’ll be able to play Sunday. Pickett hasn’t had an awesome begin to the season, with a 29.3 QBR by 4 video games, rating twenty ninth. However in final yr’s Week 17 win towards the Ravens, he recorded an 82.5 QBR — his highest of the season. Bouncing again towards the Ravens’ protection, although, is a tall process. The Ravens have allowed opposing quarterbacks to finish simply 61% of passes they usually’ve recorded 15 sacks, second most within the NFL. — Brooke Pryor
Daring prediction: Ravens QB Lamar Jackson will toss 4 landing passes for the primary time since September 2022. The Steelers are the one group that Jackson has thrown extra interceptions (six) than landing passes (4) towards in his six-year profession. However Pittsburgh has allowed eight landing passes this season, which is the fourth most within the league. — Jamison Hensley
Stat to know: Jackson has accomplished 74.3% of his passes this season, the second-best proportion within the NFL. He may change into the primary beginning QB to finish 70% of his passes in every of his group’s first 5 video games since Derek Carr in 2020.
Matchup X issue: Ravens huge receiver Zay Flowers. The Receiver Monitoring Metrics make Flowers appear like successful thus far. His 77 Open Rating ranks eighth amongst huge receivers in 2023. That is an enormous assist to the Ravens’ offense. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Steelers’ protection has allowed some very good performances to No. 1 receivers. Davante Adams, Nico Collins, Brandon Aiyuk and Amari Cooper averaged 31.7 fantasy factors towards Pittsburgh. Flowers leads the Ravens with 29 targets. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Steelers are 51-29-3 ATS as underdogs beneath Mike Tomlin (.637), the most effective file within the NFL in that span. Tomlin is 43-40 outright as an underdog. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Ravens 21, Steelers 17
Walder’s decide: Ravens 27, Steelers 10
FPI prediction: BAL, 71.8% (by a median of 8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Why Jackson and Ravens high NFL in pink zone … Pickett (knee) says he expects to play Sunday … Overlook QB, the Steelers should work out the right way to run the ball
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: PHI -4.5 (50.5)
Storyline to look at: The Eagles have gone three straight video games with 400 or extra yards and have an NFL-high 13 video games with a minimum of 400 yards because the begin of 2022. The Rams haven’t allowed greater than 400 yards in a sport this season and are permitting a median of 295.8 yards per sport, which ranks ninth within the NFL. — Sarah Barshop
Daring prediction: Rams QB Matthew Stafford will throw three landing passes, doubling his season complete. The Eagles have yielded 9 touchdowns by the air this season, third worst behind solely the Broncos (13) and Bears (10). Stafford has an opportunity to mild it up, particularly if receiver Cooper Kupp (hamstring) returns to the lineup as hoped. — Tim McManus
Stat to know: Rams rookie WR Puka Nacua has 39 receptions for 501 yards this season (each are essentially the most by 4 profession video games in NFL historical past). He wants one reception and 43 receiving yards for essentially the most by 5 profession video games.
Matchup X issue: Kupp. It stays to be seen if and the way a lot he’ll play, but when he does, this will likely be our first window into the Kupp and Nacua offense. Given Nacua’s breakout and Kupp’s return, the Rams’ offense seems to be far more harmful than we thought earlier than the season. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Eagles’ secondary has struggled this season, permitting the sixth-most passing yards per sport. Discover a solution to insert the Rams’ pass-catchers into your fantasy lineups. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: That is the twenty fifth consecutive begin within the common season Eagles QB Jalen Hurts is favored in. Hurts is 23-2 outright and 13-10-2 ATS in his profession as a favourite (22-2, 12-10-2 ATS throughout streak). Read more.
Moody’s decide: Eagles 34, Rams 31
Walder’s decide: Eagles 30, Rams 23
FPI prediction: PHI, 55.9% (by a median of two.1 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Carter placing collectively early DROY candidacy? … Nacua chasing Calvin Johnson’s single-season receiving file
0:37
Why Erin Dolan expects a number of move makes an attempt from Matthew Stafford
Erin Dolan says her greatest guess is Matthew Stafford to throw over 38.5 move makes an attempt this upcoming week towards the Eagles.
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: CIN -3 (44.5)
Storyline to look at: Apart from final week towards 49ers QB Brock Purdy, the Cardinals have been fairly good towards quarterbacks in first halves this season, holding Sam Howell, Daniel Jones and Dak Prescott to 2 touchdowns and two interceptions mixed whereas sacking all three eight complete instances. Arizona will attempt to hold it going towards Joe Burrow, who has gotten off to poor begins all season and has been sacked eight instances. — Josh Weinfuss
Daring prediction: The Cardinals will rush for 175 yards. Cincinnati is thirty first in rush protection (giving up a median of 157.0 yards per sport), and Arizona is second in dashing yards per try (5.3). Mix these elements, and this might be a day for Arizona to make its presence felt on the bottom. — Ben Child
Stat to know: Arizona QB Joshua Dobbs has thrown 4 landing passes and no interceptions this season. No Cardinals participant has ever had 5 passing touchdowns and nil interceptions in his first 5 begins with the group since starters had been first tracked in 1950.
Matchup X issue: Bengals guards Alex Cappa and Cordell Volson. They rank sixty fifth and 67th out of 67 qualifying guards in move block win fee. Burrow is clearly not at 100% and wishes higher safety if he will get again on observe. — Walder
Accidents: Bengals | Cardinals
What to know for fantasy: The Bengals’ protection has allowed the sixth-most dashing yards to operating backs. Derrick Henry scored 24.4 fantasy factors towards Cincinnati’s protection final week. The Bengals will now face James Conner. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Burrow is 27-18-1 ATS in his profession however is 0-3-1 ATS this season. He has didn’t cowl 5 straight regular-season video games. Previous to this present streak, he had by no means gone longer than two straight video games with out a cowl. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Cardinals 24, Bengals 20
Walder’s decide: Bengals 23, Cardinals 17
FPI prediction: CIN, 64.3% (by a median of 5.1 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Higgins could attempt to play with damaged ribs … Dobbs’ legs give Cardinals’ offense a distinct dynamic … Bengals want win vs. Cardinals for morale … Ought to, may and would the Cardinals transfer on from Murray?
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: DEN -2 (43.5)
Storyline to look at: Jets RB Breece Hall will likely be up towards the league’s worst run protection. The Broncos are final, or close to final, in each main statistical class on protection. Their run protection is permitting 176 yards dashing per sport, whereas the Jets have averaged 95.5 rush yards by 4 video games. — Jeff Legwold
Daring prediction: Corridor will rating two touchdowns for his first journeys to the tip zone since Oct. 23, 2022, in Denver. That day, he scored on a 62-yard run however was achieved for the season a short while after when he tore his ACL. Corridor, who now not has playing-time limitations, ought to have loads of alternatives towards Denver’s inviting run protection. — Wealthy Cimini
Stat to know: The Jets rank final in third-down conversion proportion (27%) on offense this season, averaging the fewest performs per drive (4.7) within the NFL.
Matchup X issue: Jets quarterback Zach Wilson. The participant we noticed within the second half towards the Chiefs regarded fully completely different from, frankly, the remainder of Wilson’s profession. Will he stick with it? I am skeptical as a result of the pattern of him enjoying poorly is a lot bigger. However we’ll see. Luckily for Wilson, the Broncos’ protection is a large number. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: Though the Jets’ secondary is formidable, the Broncos have the most effective probability of attacking the protection with their operating backs. The New York protection has allowed opponents to hurry for the fifth-most yards per sport. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Broncos video games have gone over the overall in three straight and eight of the previous 9 video games relationship again to final season. Previous to that stretch, 11 of the Broncos’ first 12 video games final season went beneath. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Jets 21, Broncos 17
Walder’s decide: Jets 23, Broncos 20
FPI prediction: NYJ, 54.6% (by a median of 1.6 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Corridor heading to Denver with out ‘pitch rely’ … Gregory’s launch speaks to bigger issues on protection … Hackett returns to Denver with one thing to show … Broncos have firepower with rookies Mims, McLaughlin
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: KC -4 (52.5)
Storyline to look at: QB Patrick Mahomes has confronted — and defeated — each opposing NFL group besides the Vikings, who’ve been the NFL’s most blitz-heavy group this season with a 55% fee. However will they dare use it towards Mahomes, who, because the begin of the 2020 season, has the NFL’s greatest QBR (89.0) towards the blitz? — Kevin Seifert
Daring prediction: Mahomes will throw for 300 yards and will not have an interception. The sort of sport was once a staple for him, however not this yr. He has had just one 300-yard sport and one with out throwing a decide. However the Vikings are twenty first in opponent QBR and yards allowed and have only one interception. — Adam Teicher
Stat to know: Vikings QB Kirk Cousins has 11 passing touchdowns this season, essentially the most within the NFL. He has thrown a number of landing passes in each sport this season, the second-longest streak by a Vikings participant to begin the season because the 1970 merger (Tommy Kramer, six straight in 1981).
Matchup X issue: Vikings huge receiver Jordan Addison. Shut out on only a single goal in final week’s sport, Addison must be a succesful menace if the Vikings are going to maintain up with the Chiefs’ offense. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco has had the fourth-highest success fee (46%) amongst operating backs since getting into the league in 2022, in line with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. His capacity to create yards after contact and pressure missed tackles can also be spectacular. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS of their previous seven street video games. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Chiefs 34, Vikings 23
Walder’s decide: Chiefs 34, Vikings 28
FPI prediction: KC, 67.6% (by a median of 6.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Mahomes takes blame for Chiefs’ passing-game issues … Can Jefferson catch Calvin Johnson?
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Spread: SF -4 (45)
Storyline to look at: It is exhausting to discover a Week 5 sport extra engaging than this, as these two traditionally profitable franchises renew their longstanding rivalry. In a sport the place turnovers at all times matter, they tackle larger significance when two gifted heavyweights conflict. Dallas leads the league with 10 takeaways, whereas the Niners have only one giveaway on the season, tied with Dallas and Seattle for the fewest within the NFL. San Francisco beat Dallas within the divisional spherical final season partially as a result of it was plus-1 in turnover margin. It stands to motive the end result on this one will experience closely once more on which aspect takes higher care of the ball. — Nick Wagoner
Daring prediction: Niners QB Brock Purdy could have a move intercepted. He has not had a move picked off in his previous 5 regular-season appearances. He was not intercepted within the win towards Dallas within the divisional spherical, both. And he’s coming off a sport by which he had only one incompletion. So why will the Cowboys have a decide? That is what they do. CB DaRon Bland is coming off a sport with two interceptions, together with one returned for a landing. The Cowboys have seven interceptions on the season — solely Buffalo has extra (eight). In some unspecified time in the future, Purdy has to throw one to the opposite group. — Todd Archer
Stat to know: Purdy has torched man protection, rating within the high three in QBR, yards per try and touchdown-to-interception ratio since getting into the NFL final season. He’ll face a Cowboys protection that has performed man protection on the highest fee within the NFL because the begin of final season.
Matchup X issue: Cowboys linebacker Leighton Vander Esch. Niners coach Kyle Shanahan is infamous for concentrating on opposing linebackers together with his offense. Dallas will want Vander Esch to be on his sport. Excellent news for the Cowboys: He has allowed simply 0.2 yards per protection snap this season, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats, which is superb. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: This season, the 49ers are permitting solely 3.9 yards per dashing try. This may not be RB Tony Pollard‘s breakout sport. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Cowboys are 26-12 ATS prior to now three seasons, tied with the Lions for the most effective file in that span. They’re 13-6 ATS on the street in that span, tied with the Bengals and Cardinals for the most effective file. Read more.
Moody’s decide: 49ers 27, Cowboys 20
Walder’s decide: 49ers 26, Cowboys 21
FPI prediction: SF, 55% (by a median of 1.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: What Cowboys noticed in Lance and what’s subsequent for the previous 49ers QB … 49ers-Cowboys rivalry is present process a renaissance … Playoff losses to 49ers have Cowboys motivated forward of Week 5 tilt … Overlook regression, it looks as if Purdy is definitely getting higher
1:14
Why Cowboys’ Week 5 sport vs. the 49ers is a ‘must-win’
Marcus Spears explains that the Cowboys must beat the 49ers as a confidence enhance after dropping two straight playoff video games to San Francisco.
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Spread: GB -1 (44.5)
Storyline to look at: We now have a getting-more-frustrated-by-the-loss Davante Adams vs. his former group. The Raiders All-Professional receiver mentioned it could be “bizarre” to look throughout the sector throughout warmups and see these acquainted gold and inexperienced helmets with the outsized “G” on them after spending his first eight seasons with the Packers. Now in his second yr with Las Vegas, Adams wants one TD catch to surpass Antonio Brown (31) and Jimmy Graham (31) for the fourth-most TD receptions in prime-time video games in NFL historical past, trailing Corridor of Famers Jerry Rice (46), Randy Moss (44) and Terrell Owens (34). — Paul Gutierrez
Daring prediction: Inexperienced Bay WR Romeo Doubs could have a greater stat line than Adams — if Adams plays — on Monday evening. Doubs has been in comparison with him by some within the Packers group, and this is his probability to indicate it is a worthy comparability. Doubs’ three landing catches are essentially the most by a Packers receiver within the group’s first 4 video games of a season since Adams in 2018. Doubs will add to that. — Rob Demovsky
Stat to know: Packers QB Jordan Love has thrown a minimum of one passing landing in all 5 of his profession begins. He’s the one Packer to throw a landing in every of his first 5 begins since 1950.
Matchup X issue: Raiders pass-rushers outdoors of Maxx Crosby. Las Vegas is getting nothing from that group. Bilal Nichols, Adam Butler, Tyree Wilson, John Jenkins and Jerry Tillery all have a 6% move rush win fee or worse. The Raiders’ protection wants extra. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Packers’ operating sport is nonexistent this season. Inexperienced Bay ranks thirtieth with 74.5 dashing yards per sport. See Week 5 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Raiders are 0-3 ATS of their previous three video games. Josh McDaniels is 16-27 ATS in his previous 43 video games as a head coach (began 6-0 ATS). Read more.
Moody’s decide: Packers 23, Raiders 20
Walder’s decide: Raiders 19, Packers 16
FPI prediction: GB, 54.7% (by a median of 1.7 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Why Packers have fallen behind Lions in NFC North — for now … Jacobs, Raiders have struggled operating the ball, however is a breakthrough coming? … Future unclear for Bakhtiari after 4th surgical procedure … Jacobs says frustration mounting for ‘undisciplined’ Raiders