Seattle and Las Vegas on the clock? How an NBA expansion draft would work, with picks!-ZoomTech News


With the NBA poised this season to think about growth — maybe including not less than one franchise within the subsequent two to 3 years, as we specified by Tuesday’s FAQ — let’s think about how any new crew(s) could be constructed.

The NBA is a distinct league than it was when the final growth franchise got here aboard in 2004, with an more and more Byzantine set of wage cap guidelines. Groups are way more forward-thinking and proactive than they have been twenty years in the past, which may make for attention-grabbing decisions as rosters are constructed by the growth draft and past.

After NBA Insider Bobby Marks walks us by the foundations round growth, let’s think about how an growth draft with two groups — which final occurred in 1995 — may play out if it passed off following the 2024-25 season.

Based mostly on present rosters and contracts for 2025-26, Marks put collectively protected lists for all 30 groups whereas NBA Insiders Tim Bontemps (Las Vegas) and Kevin Pelton (Seattle) took cost of two growth drafts as a part of the newest episode of the “Brian Windhorst & The Hoop Collective” podcast.

We’ll run by the groups they drafted and the way growth groups may set themselves up for long-term success.

Half I: NBA growth FAQ | Soar to: Mock draft


How would the growth draft work? Will there be rule modifications to the drafts from previous expansions (1995, 2004)?

The Charlotte Bobcats (now Hornets) have been the final crew, in 2004, that went by an growth draft.

That 12 months, and in earlier NBA growth drafts, present groups have been every allowed to guard as much as eight gamers below contract for the following season from being chosen within the growth draft.

Previous growth draft guidelines required {that a} crew needed to go away not less than one participant unprotected, even when the crew had fewer than eight gamers below contract heading into the offseason. A participant who had an choice to grow to be a free agent counted as a participant who might be protected or left uncovered.

For instance, if the NBA have been to carry an growth draft in June 2025, the Milwaukee Bucks may go away Khris Middleton unprotected. Middleton has a $34 million participant possibility. If an growth crew drafted Middleton, he may nonetheless grow to be a free agent by declining the participant possibility. In that case, the drafting growth crew would lose him with out compensation.

If Middleton have been chosen, Milwaukee would then obtain a $31 million commerce exception (his wage from the 2024-25 season) that’s out there to accumulate a participant in a future commerce.

Groups additionally have been allowed to guard gamers who may grow to be restricted free brokers.

If the identical guidelines have been in place for the following growth draft, the Golden State Warriors may shield a participant equivalent to Jonathan Kuminga, regardless that he’s not below contract for subsequent season. If Kuminga was not protected and subsequently chosen, he would routinely grow to be an unrestricted free agent, because the previous growth draft guidelines didn’t switch RFA standing to the growth crew. The drafting crew would then once more be liable to shedding a participant for nothing. Nevertheless, the participant wouldn’t be allowed to re-sign together with his authentic crew, both.

In previous growth drafts, groups additionally have been allowed to pick out just one participant from every present NBA franchise. Which means if a hypothetical Las Vegas franchise have been to make use of its first choose within the growth draft on a participant from the Boston Celtics, neither it nor the opposite growth crew could be permitted to draft one other Celtics participant.

There have been no two-way gamers in 2004, so the league might want to decide whether or not they are often protected in a future growth draft. Each two-way participant whose contract is up usually turns into a restricted free agent.


What occurred in the newest growth drafts, and what can we be taught?

In 1995, the Toronto Raptors and the Vancouver Grizzlies (now in Memphis) alternated picks till they chose one participant from every of the opposite 27 present NBA franchises.

The 2 groups had a coin toss to find out which one would choose first. The Grizzlies received the toss however selected to defer, giving them the second choose within the growth draft, and permitting them to decide on larger than the Raptors within the 1995 rookie draft.

The Raptors chosen 14 gamers within the growth draft, whereas the Grizzlies drafted 13.

In 2004, Charlotte may have chosen 29 gamers (one from every crew) within the growth draft however selected 19 (a minimal of 14 was required).

Charlotte’s entrance workplace targeted on deciding on restricted free brokers, taking 9 amongst their 19 picks. The one a type of 9 who re-signed with Charlotte was Tamar Slay.

The usual roster guidelines through the common season and offseason will possible apply.

A crew can carry as much as 21 gamers within the offseason and 18 (together with three on two-way contracts) as soon as the common season begins.


How do growth groups issue into the leaguewide draft?

In 1995 and 2004, the NBA slotted every growth crew within the first spherical.

Vancouver chosen sixth and Toronto picked seventh in 1995. In 2004, Charlotte was given the No. 4 choose, and it traded up with the LA Clippers to get the No. 2 choose. Not one of the current growth groups has been eligible for the No. 1 choose in its first 12 months. When the Raptors and Grizzlies entered the league, in addition they have been ineligible for the No. 1 choose of their second season. The Raptors received the draft lottery in 1996, however the No. 1 choose went to the Philadelphia 76ers (who drafted Allen Iverson).


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How does the wage cap work for growth groups?

Every growth crew has to work inside a lowered wage cap in its first two seasons: 66.7% of the cap for the remainder of the league in Yr 1, and 80% in Yr 2.

In July 2004, the Bobcats had a cap of $29.4 million, whereas the remainder of the league had a $43.87 million cap.

If an growth crew have been getting into the league for the 2025-26 season, utilizing that 66.7% determine, that crew could be working with a cap of $102.9 million as in comparison with $154.6 million for the league’s 30 present franchises. Then after having 80% of the wage cap out there the next season, a crew would have the complete cap out there for Yr 3.

An growth crew could be required to spend 90% of its $102.9 million wage cap by the primary day of the common season to achieve the league-mandated wage flooring.

Another factor to notice is {that a} crew can choose a participant within the growth draft, then waive him with out his wage counting in opposition to the cap. The waived cash nonetheless applies to the minimal wage requirement.


Mock NBA growth draft

With the foundations of a future growth draft in place, it is time to see what it will seem like in motion.

For the needs of this train, this draft is happening as if it have been the spring of 2025, forward of the 2025-26 NBA season. Las Vegas and Seattle are at the moment the cities most probably to land growth franchises, per Tuesday’s FAQ, so they have been chosen as crew representatives on this hypothetical draft. Bontemps drafted for the Las Vegas growth crew, whereas Pelton drafted for Seattle (their feedback are included with every choose under).

Seattle received the coin toss. And with no rookie draft as a part of this train, it determined to pick out first within the growth draft. Groups alternated picks with the chance to supply trades to Marks, who was representing the present 30 franchises.

What gamers are chosen from the present 30 NBA groups and which mock GM walks away with the higher crew?


1. Seattle: Jaylin Williams, Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder

(Seattle receives OKC’s greatest first-round choose in 2025)

Groups could make trades to guard their gamers, and the Thunder are an apparent candidate for such a deal due to their stockpile of younger expertise and surplus of picks. Particularly, on this train, Bobby was pressured to go away Nikola Topic uncovered a 12 months after Oklahoma Metropolis drafted him No. 12 general. I leveraged the specter of drafting Subject to land the Thunder’s greatest 2025 first-round choose, which may come by way of swaps with each the Houston Rockets (top-10 protected) and LA Clippers or trades with the Philadelphia 76ers (top-six protected), Utah Jazz (top-10 protected) and Miami Warmth (lottery protected).

A type of picks possible will find yourself within the lottery of what’s projected as a deep draft, and I additionally added a great worth in Williams, who will make the minimal in 2025-26, supplied Oklahoma Metropolis workout routines his crew possibility.


2. Las Vegas: Johnny Furphy, Indiana Pacers

I’d’ve taken Subject with the primary choose and never thought twice about it. But it surely was an equally simple resolution right here in deciding on Furphy second. The 19-year-old Australian rated extraordinarily excessive in draft fashions. (I do know my rival GM on this train was a giant fan.) And for a crew making an attempt to develop younger expertise, he is an ideal match as a wing with some actual upside to develop into over time with my first choose.


3. Seattle: Miles McBride, New York Knicks

The extension McBride signed that made him New York’s backup level guard after the Immanuel Quickley commerce seems to be remarkably team-friendly, paying him $4.3 million in 2025-26 and $4 million in 2026-27. After McBride averaged 11.0 factors per sport within the playoffs, he might be my first place to begin guard. That made him the selection over Mitchell Robinson, who additionally left unprotected.


4. Las Vegas: Dillon Brooks, Houston Rockets

(Brooks then is traded to Indiana for T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker and Indiana’s 2025 second-round choose)

When Bobby despatched over his listing of protected gamers, Brooks was immediately one of many guys I focused as a result of he might be flipped someplace as a wing who can defend a number of positions on a descending deal. Indiana made sense as a goal, and whereas I’d’ve appreciated to get a first-round choose within the deal, I do like Walker — who instantly turns into my beginning energy ahead — fairly a bit. McConnell is a gentle hand on the level for me to flip round for one thing else the next season.


5. Seattle: Toumani Camara, Portland Path Blazers

Camara was the final of 4 gamers I felt have been probably the most worthwhile of these out there within the growth draft. He began 49 video games as a rookie in Portland due to his defensive versatility and satisfactory 34% 3-point taking pictures. Add in two years left on the minimal (the final a crew possibility) and I thought-about Camara a greater worth than the veterans Portland left uncovered: Deandre Ayton, Jerami Grant and Matisse Thybulle.


6. Las Vegas: De’Andre Hunter, Atlanta Hawks

(Las Vegas receives Sacramento’s 2025 first-round choose by way of Atlanta)

Like Brooks, Hunter was a man I focused for a deal, as eradicating his wage from Atlanta’s books the following two seasons will give it much-needed respiration room under the posh tax to retain Jalen Johnson, amongst others. In consequence, I used to be ready so as to add into the deal Sacramento’s protected first-round choose (prime 12 in 2025, prime 10 in 2026), one that ought to get me a mid-first-round choose in a proficient 2025 draft.


7. Seattle: Collin Sexton, Utah Jazz

After unsuccessfully making an attempt to commerce with the Chicago Bulls to choose Zach LaVine or Nikola Vucevic and the Golden State Warriors to choose Andrew Wiggins, I went with Sexton as an offensive playmaker for an growth crew. Sexton took a step ahead final season, averaging 18.7 PPG on robust effectivity.


8. Las Vegas: Cory Joseph, Orlando Magic

(Las Vegas receives Denver’s 2025 first-round choose by way of Orlando)

Orlando was yet one more crew with a participant I rapidly focused once I acquired Bobby’s listing: Cole Anthony, who has developed into a pleasant combo guard off the bench for the Magic. I suspected the Magic may wish to dangle onto him, although, and I used to be proper, as I used to be in a position to get Denver’s 2025 first-rounder for taking Joseph in change. Joseph, who has a crew possibility for the 2025-26 season, will not make it on the Las Vegas roster.


9. Seattle: Kyle Kuzma, Washington Wizards

With two years remaining on his contract at $21.5 million then descending to $19.4 million, Kuzma ought to have worth if I look to flip him to a different crew. His modest wage suits extra locations than, for instance, Jerami Grant’s escalating $32 million contract.


10. Las Vegas: Brandon Clarke, Memphis Grizzlies

(Clarke is then traded to New Orleans for CJ McCollum and the Pelicans’ 2025 first-round choose)

Right here is yet one more participant I assumed may internet me some draft capital in Clarke, who’s again from his torn Achilles tendon and has two years remaining on his deal at $12.5 million per 12 months. That is why, after Memphis did not wish to give me a first-round choose to keep away from taking him (or both Jake LaRavia or John Konchar), I took Clarke and flipped him to New Orleans in change for CJ McCollum — getting New Orleans out of luxurious tax jail and giving the Pelicans a giant.


11. Seattle: Colby Jones, Sacramento Kings

Taken No. 34 general within the 2023 draft, Jones performed sparingly as a rookie however flashed versatility as a playmaker and a wing defender within the G League. Blocked in Sacramento by Keon Ellis and lottery choose Devin Carter, Jones will get a much bigger function on an growth crew.


12. Las Vegas: Leonard Miller, Minnesota Timberwolves

Miller has had solely a few cups of espresso within the NBA to date with the Timberwolves, however the 6-foot-10 Canadian is an intriguing younger expertise with some upside, as he does not flip 21 years outdated till November. At this level within the draft that was a swing price taking.


13. Seattle: Harrison Barnes, San Antonio Spurs

Barnes is the form of consummate veteran an growth crew wants within the locker room, and he is also doubtlessly flippable on the commerce deadline within the remaining 12 months of his deal at $19 million.


14. Las Vegas: Grant Williams, Charlotte Hornets

Williams is a confirmed postseason participant who can guard a number of positions and hit 3s and is on a contract price roughly $28 million over the following two seasons. That is a mix that may internet me a constructive asset in return, and at this level within the draft that’s what I am seeking to do.


15. Seattle: Craig Porter Jr., Cleveland Cavaliers

Undrafted out of Wichita State, Porter spent a lot of his rookie season because the Cavaliers’ backup level guard, averaging 15.8 factors, 6.5 assists and 6.0 rebounds per 36 minutes. He is acquired two remaining seasons on the minimal.


16. Las Vegas: Neemias Queta, Boston Celtics

Queta, the NBA’s first Portuguese participant, is an intriguing rim-running middle who has an opportunity to play an actual function for Boston. He’ll match properly into my middle rotation instantly — and may even grow to be my starter.


17. Seattle: Paul Reed, Detroit Pistons

“B-Ball Paul” Reed has one non-guaranteed season remaining on his unorthodox deal at $8.1 million. Claimed by the Pistons utilizing their waiver precedence after the 76ers needed to let him go to finish their offseason strikes, Reed will compete with Grant Williams to be my beginning middle.


18. Las Vegas: Jakob Poeltl, Toronto Raptors

After a number of makes an attempt to barter a commerce with the Raptors to not choose Poeltl, they balked at my value of a first-round choose, so I simply took Poeltl as an alternative. A stable middle on an affordable contract for the following couple of years, he’s one other participant I hope to flip for future property.


19. Seattle: A.J. Green, Milwaukee Bucks

Inexperienced has proved to be one of many NBA’s higher bench shooters over two seasons with Milwaukee, hitting 41% of his 3s and making greater than 4 per 36 minutes. He’ll be within the final 12 months of his minimal contract.


20. Las Vegas: Jalen Pickett, Denver Nuggets

Pickett struggled final 12 months as a rookie, however there’s loads of minutes to be performed at level guard behind McConnell. It is not less than price bringing Pickett into camp to compete with among the younger gamers who might be coming in by way of the draft for a roster spot.


21. Seattle: Adem Bona, Philadelphia 76ers

Robust defensive stats made Bona a favourite of stats-based projections, so it is no surprise the analytical Sixers took him No. 41 general on this 12 months’s draft.


22. Las Vegas: Duncan Robinson, Miami Warmth

Robinson has one 12 months that’s partially assured remaining on his contract, and as an elite quantity 3-point shooter, he’s somebody I imagine I can get some property for as an expiring contract over the approaching 12 months.


23. Seattle: Quentin Grimes, Dallas Mavericks

The primary restricted free agent chosen, Grimes will grow to be an unrestricted free agent, however I am going to inherit his Fowl rights from the Mavs. I most popular Grimes’ 3-and-D talent set, but it surely’s potential fellow restricted free agent Jaden Hardy may make extra sense for an growth crew.


24. Las Vegas: Nicolas Batum, LA Clippers

Batum may retire, but when he does not, I do know there might be a strong marketplace for his companies amongst contenders, making him a alternative I am proud of this late within the draft. And if he retires, the cash simply comes off my books anyway.


25. Seattle: Gui Santos, Golden State Warriors

Taken fifty fifth general by the Warriors in 2022, Santos shot a promising 37% on 3s in restricted motion as a rookie.


26. Las Vegas: Bronny James, Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers rebuffed my a number of gives to present me a second or two to keep away from taking James, so I finally determined to take a swing on one other younger man. Given I’ve a number of picks within the 2025 NBA draft, there’s an actual probability he will not make my roster, but it surely’s a free have a look at a younger participant. No motive to not take it.


27. Seattle: Antonio Reeves, New Orleans Pelicans

An reasonably priced flier, Reeves was the forty seventh choose of this 12 months’s draft by the Pelicans and signed a full NBA contract.


28. Las Vegas: Jalen Smith, Chicago Bulls

I am a bit of shocked Smith continues to be sitting right here at this level, after averaging virtually 10 factors and taking pictures over 40% from 3 for Indiana final season earlier than signing a three-year cope with Chicago. I am going to scoop him up and both add him to my huge man rotation or throw him right into a later deal.


29. Seattle: Ziaire Williams, Brooklyn Nets

With my coaching camp roster filling up, I took Williams as a restricted free agent, making him unrestricted.


30. Las Vegas: Handed

The one crew that did not have a participant chosen was the Phoenix Suns, who had just one participant left out there: Bradley Beal. We supplied to take Beal for a 2031 unprotected first-round choose plus a pair of seconds, however Phoenix mentioned no. In consequence, Las Vegas mentioned no to doubtlessly saving Phoenix a number of hundred million {dollars} in mixed payroll and luxurious tax financial savings.


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