The final two rounds of qualifiers on the street to Euro 2024 will see the ultimate 12 automated locations secured, whereas we’ll discover out the 12 international locations that face playoffs in March to finish the 24-team lineup.
Twenty international locations qualify, plus the hosts (Germany). That leaves three up for grabs by these playoffs — with paths created by way of the ultimate positions of the 2022 UEFA Nations League.
And there is extra to play for this week. The pots for the finals draw on Saturday, Dec. 2 are based mostly upon performances within the Euro 2024 qualifying programme, so each win can be essential.
We check out what’s at stake in every group, how the playoffs are going to work and what the draw pots might appear to be.
This web page can be up to date all through the ultimate days of qualifying.
Who has certified for the finals?
Eight groups have already secured protected passage to hitch Germany within the finals.
Certified robotically: Belgium, France, Portugal, Spain, Scotland, Turkey, Austria, England
That leaves 12 automated locations nonetheless to be gained throughout the ultimate week.
There are three playoff paths by the UEFA Nations League — A, B and C.
Nov. 16: Georgia vs. Scotland, Cyprus vs. Spain
Nov. 19: Scotland vs. Norway, Spain vs. Georgia
The group is finished and dusted, with Spain prime of the group on objectives scored. Because it stands they are going to be seeded in Pot 1 for the finals draw, and it will be a shock in the event that they picked up something lower than most factors from their last two matches to safe it.
If Scotland can win their last two matches, that can be sufficient to get them into Pot 2 as the most effective group runners-up.
Norway are left to hope they will sneak a spot within the UEFA Nations League B playoff path, however going into the ultimate video games they’d simply miss out.
Georgia are assured to participate within the UEFA Nations League C playoff path.
Cyprus have been eradicated.
Nov. 18: France vs. Gibraltar, Netherlands vs. Republic of Eire
Nov. 21: Gibraltar vs. Netherlands, Greece vs. France
France have already gained the group with a 100% document and are all however assured of being in Pot 1 for the finals draw.
Netherlands and Greece are in competition for the opposite automated spot. The 2 groups are stage on factors — however the Dutch maintain second place on head-to-head document, whereas Greece solely have one match left.
Subsequently, Netherlands will qualify for the finals with a win at residence to Republic of Eire.
Greece should win their final match, which is at residence to France, and hope Netherlands win neither of their final two matches — which may be very unlikely contemplating the Dutch should play minnows Gibraltar.
Both Netherlands or Greece could be assured of a playoff route in the event that they miss out on second place — Netherlands in UEFA Nations League A; Greece in UEFA Nations League C.
Republic of Eire have slim hopes of a playoff, which can rely on what number of higher-ranked groups from UEFA Nations League B qualify robotically.
Gibraltar have been eradicated.
Nov. 17: England vs. Malta, Italy vs. North Macedonia
Nov. 20: North Macedonia vs. England, Ukraine vs. Italy
England have certified as group winners and needs to be in Pot 1 for the draw in the event that they win certainly one of their last two matches — the primary of which is at residence to bottom-of-the-table Malta.
Ukraine maintain second place, however Italy have a slight benefit.
If Italy win at residence to North Macedonia, they are going to solely want some extent in opposition to Ukraine (the sport is being performed in Germany) to complete second on face to face. If Italy draw/lose to North Macedonia, then Italy should beat Ukraine to qualify robotically.
So Ukraine should wait to find what they need to do. If Italy beat North Macedonia, then Ukraine should win in opposition to Italy for second place. If Italy draw/lose then Ukraine will attain the finals with a draw/win vs. Italy.
If Italy fail to complete within the prime two, they’re certain of a UEFA Nations League A playoff spot. Ukraine are very effectively positioned for a playoff in UEFA Nations League B, however it’s not but assured.
North Macedonia and Malta have each been eradicated.
Nov. 18: Armenia vs. Wales, Latvia vs. Croatia
Nov. 21: Croatia vs. Armenia, Wales vs. Turkey
Turkey have certified, although aren’t but assured of first place. In the event that they win their last recreation away to Wales they’d have an opportunity of sneaking into Pot 1 for the finals draw, however they’re prone to be in Pot 2.
The battle for the second automated place is within the command of Wales, as they maintain the higher head-to-head document over Croatia with the 2 groups stage on factors. Wales will qualify on Nov. 18 with a win if Croatia lose to Latvia. Wales additionally will qualify in the event that they win each their video games, or in the event that they match or higher the factors complete of Croatia over the 2 fixtures.
Croatia, the 2022 World Cup semifinalists, haven’t got their destiny in their very own palms however they do have beneficial fixtures. They need to accrue extra factors than Wales to take second.
Armenia sit in fourth place and have a mathematical probability, particularly as they’ve each Wales and Croatia to play. They know that in the event that they win each video games they are going to positively end forward of Wales — however they might nonetheless miss out on second to Croatia on objective distinction. However they are going to be out of competition in the event that they lose to Wales, or with a draw if Croatia win.
Croatia could be assured a UEFA Nations League A playoff, whereas Wales must wait on the ultimate placings of different teams. Armenia can’t qualify for a playoff path.
Latvia have been eradicated.
Nov. 17: Moldova vs. Albania, Poland vs. Czechia
Nov. 20: Albania vs. Faroe Islands, Czechia vs. Moldova
This group is tight with 4 groups separated by 4 factors.
Albania prime the group with two video games to play, and it is a place of power as they nonetheless should play the underside nation, Faroe Islands, at residence within the last fixture. A win or attract Moldova within the first match will safe their place, or if Poland beat Czechia. If Albania lose on Nov. 17 then a win over the Faroes would nonetheless safe protected passage.
Czechia even have two matches left and are one level forward of Poland, who’ve one recreation to play. The 2 nations meet in Warsaw, with Poland realizing they need to win to have any probability of qualifying robotically. That might put Poland second going into the final spherical, however with no recreation left; the results of Moldova vs. Albania will resolve precisely what they would want.
Czechia, in the meantime, can qualify in the event that they win in Poland and Moldova draw or lose in opposition to Albania. If Czechia draw vs. Poland, then the Czechia-Moldova recreation basically turns into a straight battle for qualification — with the results of Moldova vs. Albania deciding the precise permutations.
Moldova will virtually definitely should win each matches, which might assure a top-two place.
Poland and Czechia would want outcomes to go their technique to get a UEFA Nations League A playoff.
Albania and Moldova can’t get a playoff path and should qualify robotically.
Faroe Islands can’t end within the prime two and have slim hope of a UEFA Nations League C playoff.
Nov. 16: Azerbaijan vs. Sweden, Estonia vs. Austria
Nov. 19: Belgium vs. Azerbaijan, Sweden vs. Estonia
Belgium and Austria have already certified, so it is only a case of who wins the group.
Belgium maintain the face to face over Austria, so Austria should win in Estonia to go prime of the group. If Austria draw or lose, Belgium are confirmed as group winners.
If Austria win, Belgium would then require a victory at residence to Azerbaijan to take first place — which might additionally safe a spot in Pot 1 for the finals draw.
Azerbaijan have an opportunity of a playoff in UEFA Nations League C.
Estonia, the top-ranked group winners from UEFA Nations League D, will get a spot within the UEFA Nations League A path if fewer than 4 groups from that path require a playoff.
Sweden have been eradicated.
Nov. 16: Bulgaria vs. Hungary, Montenegro vs. Lithuania
Nov. 19: Hungary vs. Montenegro, Serbia vs. Bulgaria
Hungary are all however over the road and solely want one level — so will qualify with a win/attract Bulgaria, or if Montenegro draw or lose vs. Lithuania.
Serbia do not play within the first spherical of video games, however will qualify if Montenegro draw or lose in opposition to Lithuania.
Montenegro should win each matches, the second of which is in Hungary. If Montenegro choose up six factors, they’d end above Hungary on the direct face to face — which might require Serbia to attract or lose vs. Bulgaria. Nonetheless, if Hungary, Serbia and Montenegro all end on 14 factors, the ultimate locations can be 1, 2, 3 in that very same order, on mini-league face to face.
If Hungary drop out of the highest two, they’ve a really sturdy probability of a UEFA Nations League A playoff — although it is not assured.
Serbia are assured of the protection internet of a spot within the UEFA Nations League B playoff path.
Montenegro’s solely path to the finals is by ending within the prime two.
Lithuania have been eradicated.
Bulgaria have an out of doors probability of a UEFA Nations League C playoff.
Nov. 17: Kazakhstan vs. San Marino, Finland vs. Northern Eire, Denmark vs. Slovenia
Nov. 20: Northern Eire vs. Denmark, San Marino vs. Finland, Slovenia vs. Kazakhstan
Slovenia and Denmark are in charge of Group H, holding a four-point cushion with two video games remaining; no less than certainly one of them is assured to qualify robotically. Nonetheless, the groups meet in Copenhagen within the first spherical of video games, which provides Kazakhstan hope of a run for the 2 prime.
If there’s a winner in Denmark-Slovenia, that nation will qualify.
If Denmark-Slovenia is a draw, each international locations will qualify within the unlikely occasion that Kazakhstan fail to beat San Marino.
If Kazakhstan lose to San Marino, each Denmark and Slovenia have certified.
If Kazakhstan win in opposition to San Marino, they know they are going to take automated qualification all the way down to the ultimate recreation. That is in Slovenia, which can develop into a direct battle for a spot within the prime two.
If Kazakhstan draw in opposition to San Marino, they are going to solely stay in competition for the highest two if Slovenia lose to Denmark.
Kazakhstan are assured a UEFA Nations League C playoff.
Denmark are assured of a UEFA Nations League A playoff in the event that they want it, however Slovenia would possible miss out on the UEFA Nations League B path so should keep within the automated locations.
Finland will certainly participate within the playoffs, which can be in UEFA Nations League B.
Northern Eire and San Marino have been eradicated.
Nov. 18: Belarus vs. Andorra, Israel vs. Romania, Switzerland vs. Kosovo
Nov. 21: Andorra vs. Israel, Kosovo vs. Belarus, Romania vs. Switzerland
Switzerland and Romania prime the group on 16 factors and are sizzling favourites to qualify robotically.
Switzerland will qualify with a win at residence to Kosovo on Saturday, or with a draw if Israel draw/lose in opposition to Romania.
Romania can be by in the event that they win or draw in opposition to Israel.
Israel should beat Romania to remain in competition.
Kosovo‘s solely hope of qualifying robotically is that if they win each their remaining video games, Switzerland lose to Romania on the ultimate day and Israel don’t win each matches.
Romania haven’t any playoff route so should qualify robotically.
Switzerland might get a spot within the UEFA Nations League A playoffs however most probably should qualify robotically.
Israel are assured a spot within the UEFA Nations League B playoffs.
Kosovo solely have the surface probability of a UEFA Nations League C playoff.
Belarus and Andorra have been eradicated.
Nov. 16: Luxembourg vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina, Slovakia vs. Iceland, Liechtenstein vs. Portugal
Nov. 19: Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Slovakia, Portugal vs. Iceland, Liechtenstein vs. Luxembourg
Portugal have certified and are assured to be in Pot 1 for the finals draw.
Slovakia are virtually there too, and can e-book their place with a win/draw at residence to Iceland.
Luxembourg should win their two video games and hope Slovakia lose each.
Likewise, Iceland should win their two fixtures, hope Slovakia don’t choose up any factors and Luxembourg draw/lose no less than certainly one of their video games. If Slovakia and Iceland end stage on 16 factors for second place, it’s going to come all the way down to direct head-to-head objective distinction — which Iceland would declare in the event that they beat Slovakia by 2+ objectives.
Iceland have an opportunity of a spot within the UEFA Nations League B playoff path.
Bosnia and Herzegovina can’t end within the prime two, however will certainly participate in UEFA Nations League B.
Luxembourg can be within the UEFA Nations League C playoffs in the event that they miss out robotically.
Liechtenstein have been eradicated.
How does it work?
There are three playoff paths to the finals, based mostly upon the ultimate rating of the 2022 UEFA Nations League group stage in Leagues A, B and C.
The winners of the teams in UEFA Nations Leagues A, B and C are assured a playoff, ought to they want it.
If a UEFA Nations League group winner qualifies for Euro 2024 robotically, the following best-ranked nation in that UEFA Nations League will get a playoff.
Basically, the 4 best-ranked international locations in UEFA Nations Leagues A, B and C who don’t qualify robotically get a playoff.
What if fewer than 4 groups want a playoff from one of many paths?
That is solely potential for League A. If the trail can’t be crammed by international locations from League A, the best-ranked nation from League D, which is Estonia, will be a part of the League A path. It’s the solely means Estonia can participate within the playoffs.
If the League path A nonetheless is not full, the next-best ranked crew in League B will get a playoff.
There can be a path containing solely UEFA Nations League B groups. Nonetheless, if extra 5 or extra groups from League B qualify for a playoff (due to an area in League A) there can be a draw between League B non-group winners to resolve which groups keep in that path, and who makes the step as much as the League A playoff path.
If Italy and Croatia fail to qualify robotically they are going to each be within the League A path, which implies certainly one of them will miss out on Euro 2024.
Who has certified for the playoffs?
At current, solely three nations are sure to be within the playoffs.
Bosnia and Herzegovina can be within the League B path.
Finland could also be within the League B path however might be drawn into League A.
Georgia can be within the League C path.
What’s the playoff format?
They’re one-legged ties, a semifinal and a last, to be performed in March 2024.
The 2 best-ranked groups can be at residence within the semifinals, and we all know for certain that Bosnia and Herzegovina (B) and Georgia (C) could have residence ties.
A draw will happen on Dec. 2 to resolve the winners of which semifinal can be at residence within the last.
Finals draw pots
The draw for Euro 2024 will happen at 12 pm. ET / 5 p.m. UK on Saturday, Dec. 2.
There can be 4 pots of six groups.
Germany can be in Pot 1 as hosts, joined by the 5 group winners with the most effective document in qualifying
Pot 2 could have the opposite group winners, plus the runners-up with the most effective document.
Pots 3 and 4 can be full of the opposite group runners up, so as of factors.
The three playoff winners can be in Pot 4. Because the playoffs aren’t performed till March, they are going to seem within the draw as Playoff A, Playoff B and Playoff C.
Going into the ultimate week, Portugal are the one crew who know which pot they’re in, assured of a spot in Pot 1 alongside Germany.
Pot 1: Germany, Portugal
Pot 2: –
Pot 3: –
Pot 4: Playoff A, Playoff B, Playoff C