Chris Fallica
FOX Sports activities Wagering Knowledgeable
“Bear Bets” are actual wagers that Chris “The Bear” Fallica is definitely making.
What a terrific journey this NFL season has been!
We went 2-1 within the convention championship video games, bringing me to 37-32-2 (53.5%) for the season.
I am betting on Tremendous Bowl LVIII between the San Francisco 49ers-Kansas Metropolis Chiefs in a ton of various methods.
So, with out additional delay, listed below are my favourite props bets (broadly accessible), together with which facet I’m wagering on to win all of it.Â
Good luck, and benefit from the sport!
Decide No. 1: San Francisco 49ers Moneyline
I am going to merely play the moneyline and pay a bit of tax to ensure that if the Niners win the sport, I am going to money my ticket.Â
Sure, I get video games do not land on one usually, however with the addition of the two-point conversion, there’s an opportunity two factors may come into play. So as an alternative of laying -110 on the unfold, I am going to simply take Niners ML.
Most individuals have settled on “Patrick Mahomes as a ‘canine” as a well-liked narrative. People have additionally been all in regards to the “Kansas Metropolis has been the higher workforce within the playoffs” narrative.
I get it. The Niners may simply have been crushed by each the Packers or Lions. However I simply have a tough time forgetting what we noticed all through your complete yr when San Fran was power-rated as one of many high two groups all season lengthy.Â
What if the smaller pattern measurement of the Chiefs beating injury-riddled Miami and Buffalo, together with a win over a Baltimore workforce that didn’t resemble what it had been offensively all season, has been overvalued, and recency bias has taken over?Â
One would suppose San Francisco will put collectively its finest sport sooner or later. It is truly a credit score to the 49ers that they’re right here and doubtless have not performed even a “B” sport within the playoffs.
Kansas Metropolis’s protection has been nice recently, however the variety of Niners’ offensive gamers who can put strain on them is extraordinarily excessive. I believe San Fran will begin properly and play its finest sport in fairly a while.
What if Kansas Metropolis’s offensive line struggles in opposition to the Niners’ entrance? We noticed that when the Chiefs have been routed by Tampa Bay in Tremendous Bowl LV. Do not forget, the top-end expertise edge belongs to San Fran.Â
The Niners may have gained a number of Tremendous Bowls since 2020, however they only have not gotten the breaks. They are going to make their very own luck this Sunday and head house as Tremendous Bowl champions.Â
PICK: 49ers to win outright (-127 moneyline)
San Francisco 49ers
SF
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
KC
Decide No. 2: Travis Kelce — Over/Beneath 0.5 Speeding Makes an attempt
We have seen Andy Reid name for direct snaps to Travis Kelce on third-and-short, fourth-and-short and near-the goal-line conditions.Â
I would not be shocked if we noticed it once more on Sunday. At +750, I am keen to seek out out if I am proper.Â
PICK: Travis Kelce Over 0.5 rush makes an attempt (+750)
Taylor Swift Tremendous Bowl Props: connecting fortunate quantity 13 to Travis Kelce, Chiefs
Decide No. 3: Patrick Mahomes — Over/Beneath 4.5 Speeding Makes an attempt
There are a number of avenues for Mahomes’ rush makes an attempt to go over the quantity.Â
If the Chiefs are successful late, there’s an actual good probability we’ll get some kneel downs to assist the trigger. However in the course of the run of play, Kansas Metropolis’s offense might even see a bunch of Mahomes scrambles if his offensive line is struggling or if his huge receivers cannot get open.Â
He is gone over this complete in every of his previous two video games, and keep in mind final yr — regardless of being hobbled — the largest play of Tremendous Bowl LVII was a Mahomes scramble. The larger the sport, the extra we see Mahomes use his legs.Â
PICK: Patrick Mahomes Over 4.5 dashing makes an attemptÂ
Decide No. 4: 49ers Rating Third-Quarter Landing
If the Niners win the coin toss, I might clearly like this wager much more, however we do not know what’s going to occur with the toss.
So, I’ll go together with what has been a a lot completely different Niners offense after halftime the previous two video games. Once more, if the Niners win the toss, we all know they’ll get the ball to begin the third quarter and that opens up a bunch of alternatives, like taking part in the Niners to win the third quarter.
PICK: 49ers to attain a landing in third quarter (-105)
Decide No. 5: Jake Moody Over/Beneath 7.5 Factors Scored
Persons are predictably down on Jake Moody, who has missed some prolonged kicks this postseason. However this does not look like a ridiculous ask from him.
We all know Kyle Shanahan tends to be conservative on the subject of going for it or kicking a discipline purpose, so Moody ought to get a few possibilities indoors.Â
I additionally just like the Niners’ possibilities to attain two touchdowns. If we get that, we’ll hit eight and money this ticket.Â
PICK: Jake Moody Over 7.5 factors scored (+110)
Decide No. 6: 49ers Time Of Possession
I am an enormous fan of this wager. Whatever the rating — and I believe most individuals really feel neither workforce will run away — I can see the Niners controlling the clock for an excellent chunk of the sport.Â
A number of Christian McCaffrey operating. Quick passes. Utilizing the center of the sphere. Serving to your protection by retaining Mahomes off the sphere.
Keep in mind, too, that it is a Chiefs offense that went three-and-out fairly a bit after the 2 first-half landing drives in opposition to the Ravens. They’ve additionally had issues with drops all through the season.Â
PICK: 49ers most time of possession (-115)
Greatest Tremendous Bowl cross-sport prop bets that includes Travis Kelce and Caitlin Clark
Decide No. 7: Gilgeous-Alexander/ Valdes-Scantling Cross-Sport Prop
This can be a prop I discovered at The SuperBook. Should you’re in Las Vegas, swing by and say whats up to my guys, John Murray and Jay Kornegay!Â
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander of the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder put up 43 factors the final time he confronted the Sacramento Kings, and now with Joel Embiid out of the MVP race, SGA has an actual probability to make a case for the award.Â
There isn’t any higher showcase than Tremendous Bowl Sunday!
I am anticipating no less than 40 factors, which suggests we might want 27 yards or fewer from Marquez Valdes-Scantling, a feat he achieved in 14 video games this season — regardless of the 2 large video games he had in opposition to Buffalo and Baltimore.Â
PICK: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander -12.5 factors in opposition to Marquez Valdes-Scantling receiving yards (-110)
Decide No. 8: Caitlin Clark/Travis Kelce Cross-Sport Prop
That is one other wager I discovered among the many many props at The SuperBook. One must suppose Chiefs fan Caitlin Clark is sweet for no less than six 3-pointers in opposition to Nebraska, a workforce that she went for 38 factors and eight 3-pointers in opposition to simply two weeks in the past.Â
I might really feel good if we entered Sunday night time ready the place it took seven Kelce receptions to beat us. And there is all the time an opportunity that quantity may very well be even greater if Clark goes full beast mode for the Iowa Hawkeyes.Â
PICK: Caitlin Clark 3-pointers (+.5) in opposition to Travis Kelce receptions (-110)
Chris “The Bear” Fallica has coated sports activities for practically three many years. Whereas school soccer has been his focus, he additionally enjoys the NFL, Soccer, Golf, Tennis, MLB, NHL and Horse Racing, with an “occasional” wager on such occasions. Chris just lately gained the inaugural Circa Soccer Invitational and completed within the High 10 of the Golden Nugget Soccer Contest. He is a multiple-time qualifier for the NHC Handicapping Championship. Keep in mind, “The much less you wager, the extra you lose if you win!” Observe him on Twitter @chrisfallica.Â
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